Irish oddsmaker gives 33% chance Trump will be impeached

[Labster]

If I could get 1:19 odds, I'd put a ton of money on it because it looks like a sure thing to me. Maybe if someone explain to me the 5% chance that he won't be impeached by the House of Representatives? Is that some sort of actuarial risk that he dies or is incapacitated? Sure it can't be that high in the next year, right? We only have 4 of 44 presidents assassinated, which is a 9% risk, but annualized that's only only a 1.8% risk per year. And doing a quick actuarial, risk of death is like 3.6% per year for a 70 year old male never-smoker.

Actually, maybe 95% is about right.