(07-25-2024, 01:20 PM)GethN7 Wrote: Bear in mind I'm trying to not prejudice either side here, and I'm not inclined to vote for either option, but from where I'm sitting, the Democrats despite the bluster look like they lost the plot to me.
The Republicans have a candidate they are sticking with, generally have their act together, and while I don't want to have to vote for them because I really wish they had someone other than Trump if I absolutely had to make a choice, they at least have a candidate and plans to follow through with them.
The Democrats, well, they just chucked Biden, who had actual groundwork laid, and effectively sidelined him only a few months before election and are shilling Kamala Harris to the moon despite her having no groundwork laid and basically having to start from scratch while Biden at least had the advantage of being an incumbent with a war chest, which the FEC told Harris she cannot legally touch due to election laws governing the financing.
She's only got a few months to convince people she's got a shot, and considering how 2020 ended ignominiously for her and she's basically a late-game player switch, she's going to have an uphill battle if you ask me.
The Democrats have practically never won doing stuff like this. Lincoln won in 1860 because the Democrats were horrifically fractured, ditto Nixon in 1968. From a historical standpoint, I'm doubtful Harris can break the precedent.
Okay, the FEC thing is just not true. Like, at all. There are some conservative lawsuits alleging that this is true, and Harris can't touch the money she raised. But even if that were the case, after the Democratic convention the entire fund could be donated to the DNC, which is the same result, a month later. There is such a thing as peaking too early.
The other thing here is saying that Democrats are horrifically fractured, which for the Democratic Party is like, an ordinary Tuesday? I mean, we are basically always about one step removed from the "Judean People's Liberation Front" sketch. Nothing has changed on that front. There's always a tension between the leftist wing, the social justice wing, the pro-business wing, and the environmental wing.
None of this lack of unity has stopped the Democratic Party from winning the majority vote in all presidential elections this century with the exception of 2004. The problem is that the system is completely rigged against Democrats. In a fair election, we wouldn't have to worry so much about swing states, and appeal to every voter. But instead we have decided that some voters are more equal than others, and rigged it so that my vote is counted at only about 26% as much as a voter from Wyoming.
What a complete and utter rig job.
"Kitto daijoubu da yo." - Sakura Kinomoto