Quote:robkelk wrote:Not even that course of action is going to change things. The only thing that would stop a Trump nomination (that's a big maybe) is a contested nomination. Stop Trump from getting the 1237 votes he needs. The problem is that he'll have the plurality of votes going in and he might win the nomination anyway. Any attempt by the establishment to have another nominee crowned (like say Mitt Romney) would end up turning against their base. Who would probably sit out the general election. So either accept the outcome, let the burning begin and try to rebuild in 2020. Or watch the GOP fall into irrelevancy and become a regional party at best.
At this point, IMHO the only way the GOP has any hope of getting somebody other than Trump as their candidate is to have either Rubio or Cruz drop out of the race, throwing his support behind the one who stays in. Although, even if they were promised the VP nomination in exchange, I don't see either of them falling on his own sword like that.
Someone did the math and stated that Trump will have to win 70% of the white vote to win the general election....which breaks down to 68% of the men and 72% of the women. Given the changing demographics, it'll be mission impossible. I don't see him making inroads with women, the black or Hispanic vote. What I do see him doing is try to do an "etch and sketch" toward the center. And if that didn't work, maximize his base. McCain tried the inflammatory rhetoric in 2008 and at least had the decency to tone it down when he realized where it was leading. I don't see Trump having that same restraint. Expect an ugly and possibly violent election.
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Into terror!, Into valour!
Charge ahead! No! Never turn
Yes, it's into the fire we fly
And the devil will burn!
- Scarlett Pimpernell