Irish oddsmaker gives 33% chance Trump will be impeached

[robkelk]

Trump's odds of staying in office: The Day 6 Impeach-O-Meter for July 27

First update since Mueller testified in front of Congress. Guess which way the meter went.

Spoiler

Down!

Editor's note: When we started the Impeach-O-Meter, we settled on getting people who watch U.S. politics closely to estimate the odds that Donald Trump's presidency would "end in impeachment." We've come to realize that it wasn't always clear whether that meant that the U.S. House of Representatives would vote to impeach him or that additionally, the U.S. Senate would vote to remove him from office as a result of being impeached by the House of Representatives.

We've always intended that to mean being impeached by the House of Representatives, so for the sake of clarity, we've changed the language to "the odds that Donald Trump will be impeached by the House of Representatives."