2020, the election campaigns have begun

[Labster]

Your optimism is cute, Hazard, but not very likely. The Senate is very heavily gerrymandered by history itself. In Wyoming, you get one senator per ~300k people. In California, you get one senator per ~20M people. Two orders of magnitude. And if Democrats are going to be the urban party, then Republicans are going to win most rural, low population areas.

The map is not great. Mathematically it looks good, but without exceptional local candidates, Dem+2 seems like the most likely outcome based on fundamentals. Democrats pick up Maine, Colorado, and Arizona, and lose Alabama.