Woof... okay, not to dive too deep into political chat here, but here goes.
American political parties tend to favor whoever the sitting president is. If the guy wants to run again, then by and large the party will back him to the fullest extent - if nothing else it makes life easier for them because they don't have to go through an extensive an draining primary campaign to choose a candidate. It's possible that a party would refuse to back a sitting president, but the way things are set up it's very unlikely.
Now, because Giuliani is both a terrible president and a terrible excuse for a human being, the Republicans will largely turn their back on the guy and choose somebody else. The question then becomes who do they choose? and therein lies the problem. The Republicans going out for the 2012 campaign are pretty much the same crop of losers, freaks & no-hopers that made up the 2012 Republicans OTL. Thanks to Giuliani's mismanagement any serious Republican candidate for president is going to sit this cycle out and hope the bitterness fades by 2016.
Based on that analysis I figure the Other Guys will take the 2012 election. Though if there's an honest interest in keeping the GOP in power until 2016 we could always fluke Newt Gingrich to the imperial purple. Gingrich is a horrible man in many ways but he does love him some spaceflight; I could see him being both crazy and pro-Fen enough to thaw things[1].
[1] But! If we go this way I demand a concession in the form of Socialist and Libertarian blocs forming in the House and Senate.
Mr. Fnord interdimensional man of mystery
FenWiki - Your One-Stop Shop for Fenspace Information
"I. Drink. Your. NERDRAGE!"
American political parties tend to favor whoever the sitting president is. If the guy wants to run again, then by and large the party will back him to the fullest extent - if nothing else it makes life easier for them because they don't have to go through an extensive an draining primary campaign to choose a candidate. It's possible that a party would refuse to back a sitting president, but the way things are set up it's very unlikely.
Now, because Giuliani is both a terrible president and a terrible excuse for a human being, the Republicans will largely turn their back on the guy and choose somebody else. The question then becomes who do they choose? and therein lies the problem. The Republicans going out for the 2012 campaign are pretty much the same crop of losers, freaks & no-hopers that made up the 2012 Republicans OTL. Thanks to Giuliani's mismanagement any serious Republican candidate for president is going to sit this cycle out and hope the bitterness fades by 2016.
Based on that analysis I figure the Other Guys will take the 2012 election. Though if there's an honest interest in keeping the GOP in power until 2016 we could always fluke Newt Gingrich to the imperial purple. Gingrich is a horrible man in many ways but he does love him some spaceflight; I could see him being both crazy and pro-Fen enough to thaw things[1].
[1] But! If we go this way I demand a concession in the form of Socialist and Libertarian blocs forming in the House and Senate.
Mr. Fnord interdimensional man of mystery
FenWiki - Your One-Stop Shop for Fenspace Information
"I. Drink. Your. NERDRAGE!"